Sepp Kuss is currently in red going into the TT on stage 10 of La Vuelta. It’s a bit strange, no one expected him to be in the race lead but – if he can get through tomorrow, he has the class in the mountains to win GC. Remco is 2:22 down on the American with Kuss’ Jumbo team mates, Roglic and Vingegaard on 2:29 and 2:33 respectively.
The TT is only 25.8km in length so, while we all expect these gaps to close, the chances are Kuss will still be in the race lead unless Marc Soler or Lenny Martinez pull a really great TT out the bag. Sepp Kuss’ time trial ability has rarely been tested in the past but we all know that Jumbo can execute a good TT when they want to.
The time trial is only 25km long but we saw in this year’s Tour de France that short time trials can create big gaps but this time trial is, for all purposes, completely flat. This both benefits Sepp Kuss and hinders him. The benefit comes from the fact that not much time can be lost during a medium length flat TT as the speeds are high, however relative to the rest of the GC contenders Kuss is one of the better climbers – and his TT ability remains unknown…
Other than Jumbo and Sepp Kuss, I don’t think anyone knows if he’s spent any time in the wind tunnel. I’d imagine some rudimentary testing has been done but the question of how aero Sepp Kuss actually is seems to be a little bit of a mystery. Apparently, he’s 61kg with an FTP of 383W (this might be nonsense though, I just found it reported online somewhere) but let’s put these numbers into myWindsock and see how varying the cda impacts the time.
Remco vs Ganna
As well as the GC drama there’s the prospect of a stage win up for grabs. Let’s estimate some times for Remco Evenepoel and Pippo Ganna to see who will come out on top using what we think we know about their various numbers.